I Want To See For Myself But I Cant Math - Tumblr Posts

okay so i’ve been in the speedrunning discord for a few weeks now, and one thing i’ve taken away from it is that pretty much everyone in there seems to hate dream. this obviously means that when the data was put out, everyone there was super happy, so i didn’t really chat that much because i knew if i even tried to state my opinion, i would be immediately yelled at for being a “dream stannie” and my opinion would be completely disregarded.

now i’ve mentioned this before, i’m shit at math. therefore i feel the only possible way for me to test dream’s pearl luck is to trade the exact amount of gold he did to count the amount of pearl trades i receive, but do several sets of those trades to make sure i’m not just using one sample (which would take me hours probably) and then kill the exact amount of blazes he did accounting for the amount he killed with a looting sword, and do that a few times just to see how much an active sample would change the numbers as presented by the document.

like i can’t do the shit the verifiers did because i don’t understand stats, but maybe accounting for the rng by doing the trades myself will show a different probability than what their stream samples have shown? idk how the math works so maybe we’d end up with the same shit, but at least i’d know for sure then

i’m not decided if i’ll actually do this because it’d take a lot of time, but i might if i find the time to dedicate the hours to. if i did do it i’d probably turn off my optifine too, just to make sure i didn’t mess with any of the mob spawn stuff that i recently learned it messed with XD. maybe i’ll record it, or like livestream the hours it’ll take me lmfao, might be worth it tbh

maybe i’d get another friend to help me or something, but that’s literally the only way i think i could conceivably check the statistics because i don’t understand the math that they used 😭